archived: 29 Feb - 6 Mar, 2004 Back Next
BUSH
Bush’s “approval” rating continues to drop this week as his 30 day “approval” drops below 50% for the first time. Equally important, the spread between those who “approve” and “disapprove” is 5%.
Bush’s numbers continue to decline even though there are no new polls this week. His decline comes from the fact that we are now moving to more than 30 days from the end of the “Saddam Bounce.”
Of course, Bush has announced plans to start his TV campaign in “key” states immediately following the Democratic Party Super Tuesday primaries.
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Poll |
Date |
Approve |
Disapprove |
Spread |
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30 Day Average |
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49.75% |
44.75% |
5.00% |
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60 Day Average |
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52.13% |
42.29% |
9.83% |
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Newsweek |
2/19 - 2/20 |
48% |
44% |
4% |
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FOX News |
2/18 - 2/19 |
48% |
41% |
7% |
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Gallup |
2/16 - 2/17 |
51% |
46% |
5% |
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Washington Post |
2/10-11/04 |
50% |
47% |
3% |
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CNN/Gallup/USA Today |
2/6-8/04 |
52% |
44% |
8% |
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Newsweek |
2/5-6/04 |
48% |
45% |
3% |
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Time/CNN |
2/5-6/04 |
54% |
42% |
12% |
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FOX News |
2/4 - 2/5 |
53% |
41% |
12% |
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Associated Press |
2/2 - 2/4 |
47% |
50% |
-3% |
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Gallup |
1/29 - 2/1 |
49% |
48% |
1% |
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Quinnipiac Univ. |
1/28 - 1/31 |
48% |
45% |
3% |
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Newsweek |
1/29 - 1/30 |
49% |
44% |
5% |
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Quinnipiac Univ. |
1/21 - 1/25 |
53% |
40% |
13% |
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Newsweek |
1/22 - 1/23 |
50% |
44% |
6% |
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FOX News |
1/21 - 1/22 |
53% |
39% |
14% |
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ABC News/Wash Post |
1/15 - 1/18 |
58% |
40% |
18% |
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Zogby(#) |
1/15 - 1/18 |
49% |
50% |
-1% |
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CBS/New York Times |
1/12 - 1/15 |
50% |
45% |
5% |
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NBC News/WSJ |
1/10 - 1/12 |
54% |
41% |
13% |
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Gallup |
1/9 - 1/11 |
59% |
38% |
21% |
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Pew Polling Report |
1/6 - 1/11 |
56% |
34% |
22% |
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Newsweek |
1/8 - 1/9 |
54% |
41% |
13% |
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FOX News |
1/7 - 1/8 |
58% |
31% |
27% |
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CNN/Gallup/USA Today |
1/2 - 1/3 |
60% |
35% |
25% |
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(#)Zogby surveys "likely voters." New polls since last TPJ publication are highlighted in blue. |
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KERRY & EDWARDS
The situation over the past week looks little changed. Nationally, the most recent polls demonstrate Kerry holds a commanding lead over Edwards: -- Polling Report
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Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Feb. 19-20, 2004. N=391 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 6. |
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. |
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"If the Democratic presidential race comes down to a choice between John Kerry and John Edwards, which would you rather see as the party's candidate this fall?" Names rotated |
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% |
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. |
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John Kerry |
63 |
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. |
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John Edwards |
26 |
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. |
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Neither (vol.) |
2 |
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. |
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Don't know |
9 |
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FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 18-19, 2004. N=345 registered Democrats nationwide. |
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. |
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"If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would you most likely vote for?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, to whom do you lean at this time?" Names rotated |
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2/18-19 |
2/4-5 |
1/21-22 |
1/7-8 |
11/18-19 |
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% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
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John Kerry |
58 |
54 |
29 |
7 |
8 |
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John Edwards |
21 |
12 |
13 |
4 |
3 |
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Someone else/Other (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
Last Update: 03/23/2006